According to the Shandong Provincial Information Center Jinxiang garlic wholesale market monitoring, in August the average wholesale price of garlic 5.06 yuan / kg, garlic in July the average price of 5.66 yuan / kg, down 10.58%, garlic prices, August volume of 157461 tons of garlic, July volume of 196110 tons, a decline of 19.71%, the decline in trading volume, turnover in August garlic is 796 million 755 thousand and 300 yuan, July a total turnover of 1 billion 109 million 982 thousand and 600 yuan, a decline of 28.22%, turnover dropped significantly.
Two: garlic dynamic analysis
August garlic average price, turnover, turnover are down for the main reasons are as follows:
1:8 months of garlic storage, storage and storage volume is small, due to the continued decline in garlic prices, in August, part of the purchase stopped, stores began to receive goods, procurement is not too large.
2:8 months, the overall volume of transactions is not large, domestic buyers on demand procurement, export processing trade volume declined.
3: this year, the new garlic garlic slice production needs raw garlic increase, garlic products need to fill the gap will consume a lot of garlic. However, due to environmental protection inspection, food Park garlic processing enterprises in semi production state, than in June garlic slice production almost fell by half, garlic slice enterprise can't make full throttle to produce garlic slice.
4: enter the middle of August, garlic best storage period has passed, small dealers and garlic farmers in early sales enthusiasm high, buyers to lower prices to buy. In late August, small dealers and garlic farmers to see garlic reduced the amount of listing, asking prices insist, garlic prices rebounded slightly. But the recovery is very small.
The above points are the main reason for the turnover of garlic prices and the decrease in turnover in August.
Three: garlic market forecast
1: as a result of environmental protection department inspection, the garlic slice output is affected, the garlic consumption drops.
2: in September, primary and secondary schools opened, garlic rice consumption market turns, garlic processing increased, and other garlic products will increase production.
3: according to the survey, as of August 26th, Jinxiang and its surrounding counties and cities have reached about 1 million 750 thousand tons of storage, the national storage volume of about 2900000 tons, and now the stock has exceeded the previous forecast of garlic stocks. Later, there will be a small amount of garlic storage.
4:8 months, due to the continued decline in garlic prices, some stores began to store garlic, but more rational price reduction procurement.
5: garlic prices continue to decline, making some garlic products enterprises also began to increase production, so that increased consumption of garlic.
6: garlic export processing to reduce the amount of July, garlic exports of 185 thousand and 940 tons over the same period last year, export 189 thousand and 860 tons of garlic, garlic exports 3 thousand and 920 tons less than the same period last year, down 2.06%, garlic exports declined slightly.
7: in September, the temperature dropped, garlic into the bud, garlic quality decreased, prompting small traders and garlic farmers actively selling garlic.
8: a few days ago to go to Chengwu investigation, some villages and towns garlic basically ended, part of the township garlic there are many, mainly concentrated in the hands of small traders, but the total amount than last year dropped.
9: this year due to large amount of garlic, a part of the store business is not optimistic about the future of fresh garlic market, began to sell cold storage of fresh garlic, garlic 5 cm from the price of 2.6 yuan / kg, 5.5 cm of garlic price is 2.70 yuan / kg, 6 cm of garlic price for 2.7--2.90 yuan / kg. Fresh garlic out of the library, it will affect the sale of garlic outside the library.
According to the above comprehensive analysis, we predict that the price of garlic outside the warehouse will steadily rise and run in September.
