In fact, this is very clear for the way out of China's agriculture and what route to take. For example, mechanization, scale, intensification, branding, etc. (of course, some scholars are opposed to this kind of development direction), are commonplace, said ten years. But what's the effect? Everybody is obvious.
China's agriculture is a complex complex, and it is of little significance to talk about agriculture only if it is about agriculture. When it comes to agriculture, farmers are a key point. only by solving the problems of farmers can we solve the problem of the direction and route of agricultural development.
First, the number of farmers should be reduced, and the main part of agriculture should be changed
1, the number of agricultural population is huge
How many farmers are there in China now? Specific data, the official also does not have very accurate data. According to Professor He Xuefeng, author of the land rights logic, China still depends on agricultural income, and its population should be about 400 million, with about half of the number of migrant workers entering the city, about 5-6. Some people say it's 7 hundred million. The world's third largest population is the United States, with about 320 million people. Obviously, the population directly dependent on agriculture is a huge base. If we do not consider this in the course of considering the direction of agricultural development, it is difficult to achieve any direction and route.
2, the agricultural population needs to be reduced
The reduction of the agricultural population is both a necessity and a necessity. only in this way can we eliminate excessive production capacity and backward and unreasonable production methods. At present, many agricultural products are unsalable because of excessive production capacity or backward production methods, resulting in high cost and poor quality. Because of the information asymmetry caused by unsalable, but in fact the proportion is very small. Therefore only appropriate to engage in agricultural production of people out, to reduce production capacity, improve the quality, we only have to stay alive. The reason why farmers can not become rich now is that a large part can be attributed to too many people in agriculture, then killing each other, and in the end, everyone has no money to earn.
3, the main body of agriculture is changing
(1) changes in family definitions. The household contract responsibility system mainly takes the family as the main body. In recent years, the so-called "family farm" is mainly based on family. At present, the family is still the main part of agricultural production, and then there will be a long period of time (some people expect 50 years), still will be based on the family as the main body. But what needs to be explained is that the "family" in the past is not the same as the concept of "family" now or later. The past family is not organized, is a primitive state; and now, including the future of "family" is organized, to be exact, it should be a "family enterprise"". Many of the so-called cooperatives we see now are actually a family that has made big changes in agriculture.
(2) new agricultural individuals. metabolism is the law of nature. Traditional agricultural individuals are dying out and there will inevitably be new individuals filling in. Worrying about nobody farming is a false proposition. Now we have been able to see the new farmers, new occupation farmers, new farmers, migrant youth entrepreneurship, migrant workers, other industry practitioners to agriculture and so on, is a supplement of the reflux group. They may continue to operate agriculture as households, and may join agriculture with companies, cooperatives, and so on.
In summary, we can conclude: the total agricultural population is too large, in a short period of time is still no way to large-scale transformation of agricultural population, so for a long period of time will still have a large population living in rural areas, engaged in agricultural activities. But if the agricultural population is not reduced, it will be difficult for the peasants to get rich, and the agriculture industry will still be a very low income industry. In the course of this contradictory development, many agricultural subjects are changing, and they are no longer traditional farmers. Their concepts, knowledge, thinking, mode of operation, etc., have long been different from those of traditional farmers. The subject of agriculture, whether in form or individual, has changed.
Two, the organizational form of farmers should be established.
Many agricultural phenomena and problems are traced back to the problem of agricultural population. For example, the pattern of "small and small" in Chinese agriculture is due to the need to ensure the survival of nearly half of the population. In addition, there are the organizational forms of farmers.
Traditional farmers are self reliant and self-sufficient in their families. But with the development of economy, it has long been the period of self-sufficiency. The agricultural products produced by farmers are for the purpose of exchange. At this time, they have to face a problem, that is, the market. Traditional farmers have no market concept, because they have very little scale and standard trading. After the advent of the market economy, there are many farmers do not adapt. In the face of the market, the traditional loose family has been difficult to deal with, even if the new type of agricultural subject, the volume is also very small, it is difficult to compete in the market to survive. Hence, new forms of organization are needed to unite these agricultural entities. Let them form a community of interests, forming alliances and associations. Although there are many such organizations, they have not played a substantive role. China has a history of agricultural development for thousands of years, but in addition to fighting, there has never been any decent form of organization in agriculture, nor has it been. Lack of coordination, lacking spirit of cooperation. Jac should be our