The good news:
The new wheat price begins to climb!
Since late August, the purchase price of new wheat in China's main producing region has gradually increased, rising from 1.24 yuan per catty to 1.27 yuan per catty, with a 3 gross gain per jin.
The domestic wheat market has the "golden nine silver ten" theory, the market price also many will appear in this period the stage sex go up.
But this year's price rally has come a bit too far.
So, what impact will the rise in wheat prices have on our food markets?
How will the wheat market perform this fall?
Wheat prices are bullish, and farmers and traders are willing to stock up
The arrival of the school year in September has brought many orders for flour mills, but the mills that were supposed to be working in the heat are not as busy as they might have been.
In recent days, journalists have visited flour mills to find that the price of wheat has been rising since late August, putting some pressure on the processing companies.
Li lei, a wheat processor in kaifeng, henan province, said the price changed when wheat prices were stable at the beginning of the year and then came down in June.
Now the wheat is small, we collected 1.27 yuan per catty, up about six or seven cents.
In September, the harvest season of wheat has passed, the grain supply is reduced and the price of wheat is high, which is a normal phenomenon.
The main reason for the low wheat crop this year is market bullishness and the reluctance of farmers and traders to sell.
Li zhenhai, head of the henan yanjin state Treasury, told reporters that because of the good price of wheat last year, many people continue to be bullish on wheat, so they want to stock up some food this year.
Henan delay zhen-hai li, director of the state Treasury, tianjin: wheat traders were profitable last year, make a profit of $300 a tonne, some made five centuries, so they also want to hoard of food this year, farmers have rised some, they think wheat last year hit a piece of three, also must hold to the Spring Festival this year, before and after the Spring Festival to sell again.
Will the supply of food in the market be tightened?
Journalists have learned that the reluctance of farmers and sellers has led to the recent tightening of food supplies in the market, and the situation is likely to continue.
But wheat prices will not rise too high.
In order to stabilize the market price, the state will ensure the healthy development of the market, and when necessary, it will open up the inventory of wheat and increase the supply so as to reduce the price of the wheat market.
So is this year's wheat price up to the standard for grain?
Li zhenhai, director of henan yanjin's Treasury: the current price is not worth the price of the warehouse.
Now the price of flour mills to receive top two six or seven MAO, the Treasury of the base price for now two four MAO, so it is not very profitable, a second to the wheat, now close library, plus the bank interest, and outbound than, also do not have what profit.
So it's not going to be worth it.
The price trend of the market should pay attention to these three stages
Shen hongyuan, a grain market analyst in zhengzhou, henan province, said the price of wheat will fall into three phases in the second half of 2017.
The first stage is between September and October, when wheat prices will be high.
The second phase, from mid-october to early December, will be a major factor affecting wheat prices in 2018, but the price of wheat will be stable.
Entering the Spring Festival, the third phase of New Year's day, the main influence on the price of wheat is the supply and demand.
Analyst shen hongyuan: next year, the price of the market is likely to be cut by three cents, if the news /confirm/is, then the market will have some impact.
At this stage, the downstream flour and feed consumption is also in a stable state.
If there is no greater macroeconomic stimulus, the consumption of wheat will remain stable.
The Spring Festival is one of the traditional consumption season, this period of both enterprises and trade agent will actively stock, so late for prices, many enterprises will have a expectations, many companies will reduce their own inventory, in order to prevent the fall in prices after the Spring Festival bring market risk.
Apart from the good market this year,
There are also sales techniques that help farmers sell their food better.
For example, to give play to the advantages of wheat quality,
The market will be better!
In the past two years, the wheat market in our country has been presenting a good situation. This "good" is not only reflected in the price, but also in the quality of the product and the diversity of the industry.
This year, henan province launched a "special wheat" program.
They categorised the wheat so that different types of wheat could use their characteristics and strengths to make the best use of all wheat types.
Contributing commentator zhang ziyu:
Now we have to divide the grain in more dimensions on more dimensions.
For example, it's also flour, some high quality flour, which is made of food that tastes good and is well processed.
Some of the flour is made into a dumpling noodle, and the cooking will rot.
For specific downstream needs, wheat now has a special wheat division.
For the food industry, is a kind of very good processing materials of weak gluten wheat, the wheat grain soft, weak thews, low protein, better extensibility and strong series product is the production of cookies, cakes and other high-quality raw materials and special powder.
And some of the local produce of mixed wheat, making pasta has not good effect, but it is a good material for wine making.
In the past, our classification of food was not detailed enough, and the agricultural products produced in each place were stored together, so that the real value of agricultural products could not be played out.
In fact, the types of agricultural products are very important for downstream enterprises, and this brings great business opportunities.
The two days have reported that wuliangye group and henan xinyang city and huaibin county have signed an agreement, and the weak gluten wheat used in the brewing process is purchased from huaibin, with a planned purchase of 100,000 to 120,000 tons per year.
How about the quality of these wheat?
The staff of wuliangye said that the wine made from this kind of wheat is as glittering and translucent as jade.
(could)
Because of the good quality, this year's new wheat prices are high and high in the main producing region of this weak gluten.
The media estimates that farmers in the province of henan are growing more than 25 percent a year.
You can grow food, but you have to have a certain kind of wheat.
The original kind of coarse mixing method can get a relatively high yield, but the single product concentration can guarantee the purity of the variety and the economic benefit of the specific food species.
In fact, there is a huge industrial effect behind this kind of planning.
From the overall, our country's wheat production is sufficient, but processing enterprises, the production of strong gluten wheat production need the weak gluten wheat pastry need such as "special" do not go up, had to import only a high price.
If you can make organic adjustment and planning in the selection and planting of these links, you can achieve a more than two effect.
From the perspective of industrial planning, it is necessary to have good planning for the cultivation of "special wheat" from extensive planting.
Under the guidance of the market, "dedicated wheat" has become an important work in some grain producing areas.
Henan fuyang, for example, is now in the construction of brand on wheat production base, shangqiu in special wheat production and marketing docking symposium was held in August, at the same time, some places have the scale of special wheat processing enterprises, and specialized research center.
It is an inevitable requirement of agricultural transformation and upgrading to comb existing conditions and make deep adjustment.
In fact, special wheat is only a successful case.
Beyond wheat, there are more agricultural products that can be used to find new ways of development.
It is believed that through the exploration of all kinds of special agricultural products, it will bring new vitality to the agricultural industry.
