First, the trend of garlic
According to the shandong province jinxiang garlic market for September 4 - (10) monitoring, grade garlic garlic last week average wholesale price of 4.84 yuan/kg, level up and new garlic garlic average wholesale price is $4.86 kg, fell 0.38%, the price of garlic and flat last week, last week garlic garlic volume of 14008 tons, up week level volume of 21475 tons of garlic, garlic fell 34.77%, garlic and drop volume, garlic last week turnover is 67.7987 million yuan, up week garlic turnover is 104.3685 million yuan, fell 35.04%, garlic sales slump.
2. Dynamic analysis of garlic
Last week the garlic price from high to low, the trend of garlic prices haven't changed much, average price level of garlic garlic by last Monday's 4.95 yuan/kg, down to the average price of 4.53 yuan/kg, on Monday fell by 0.42 yuan/kg, fell 8.48%, the acquisition of basic end of garlic in the germination period now, farmers, small dealers and large farm because of garlic small stock in hand, but now to late to buy garlic, today has entered in mid-september, from garlic cultivation and 20 days, selling enthusiasm high, slightly small dealers are also along with sales, and at the end of the storage, warehousing, domestic market demand, the international market procurement also not too positive, accompanying or interacting, procurement.
Graph: garlic
Garlic price is basically stable, trading volume, the main reasons for the slump are as follows:
1. With the end of the garlic warehousing transaction, the purchase of warehousing is very low, and the transaction volume has plummeted.
2 still scrutiny processing pollution, environmental protection, jinxiang garlic production is also a local shift production, processing capacity reduced by half, outside package enterprises in the production of garlic, rent or the processing fee has paid, garlic processing also have to continue to produce, but was not too big.
3. The domestic consumption market is not large enough, and it is still purchased according to demand.
4. General purchase of international market.
5. Garlic farmers and small dealers have not much stock of garlic. They are selling at a price. Because of the lack of purchasing activity, the purchase volume is small, resulting in a decline in transaction volume.
6. Now start the garlic cloves, and a small amount of garlic will start to go on the market.
7. It rained for more than three days last week, resulting in shorter trading hours and a slump in transaction volume.
3. Forecast analysis of garlic
1, now in mid-september, garlic sprouts, to open up, garlic buds reached two-thirds, small farmers and dealers in the hands of garlic garlic is too many, but not the procurement, from garlic cultivation and 20 days, shorten the sales space, also causes small dealers and large sales incentive to improve garlic.
2. Jinxiang garlic slice processing enterprise shift production, garlic slice processing consumption garlic is the normal production amount of half.
In July, garlic exports 18.5.94 million tons, down 0.392 million tons from the same period last year, down 2.07 percent year on year, while garlic exports declined slightly.
5. This year, there is a small amount of garlic in the garlic.
6, garlic end of put in storage, basically do not have put in storage now, that is put in storage garlic stops, the library outside garlic consumption rely mainly on domestic consumer market consumption, foreign low-end consumer market consumption and consumption of products processing garlic, garlic consumption reduced.
7. Foreign high-end market to start the purchase of fresh garlic processing, the export of processed garlic is reduced.
based on the above analysis, the price of garlic will decrease slightly next week.
